Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.080562 2.409600 2.771376 3.198334 3.688140 4.232170 4.881975
2025-02-16 1.540179 1.950190 2.440106 3.067468 3.848355 4.787167 6.000416
2025-02-23 1.156697 1.585375 2.136712 2.895293 3.909292 5.215150 7.021596
2025-03-02 0.879591 1.295420 1.867020 2.705965 3.901237 5.537632 7.941925
2025-03-09 0.727069 1.142541 1.748851 2.691727 4.113584 6.168608 9.352919
2025-03-16 0.592953 0.989662 1.601565 2.605293 4.199951 6.621789 10.560761
2025-03-23 0.536062 0.944468 1.606452 2.745282 4.640400 7.647542 12.752009
2025-03-30 0.479157 0.888228 1.582822 2.832057 5.002436 8.589117 14.922459
2025-04-06 0.418619 0.814572 1.517282 2.835544 5.221065 9.317045 16.822974
2025-04-13 0.347138 0.708394 1.377866 2.686510 5.150277 9.540377 17.878850
2025-04-20 0.317765 0.676884 1.368804 2.772176 5.509520 10.551001 20.436861
2025-04-27 0.298969 0.663001 1.390400 2.917439 5.995799 11.841951 23.649162
2025-05-04 0.270477 0.625744 1.363273 2.968406 6.317384 12.883728 26.558243
2025-05-11 0.243093 0.586269 1.325875 2.993269 6.590725 13.866531 29.475768
2025-05-18 0.210561 0.529504 1.243211 2.910002 6.628521 14.385107 31.524675
2025-05-25 0.178633 0.468262 1.140950 2.767675 6.518414 14.583269 32.927637
2025-06-01 0.161618 0.440199 1.109767 2.781585 6.754351 15.536572 36.046777
2025-06-08 0.141571 0.400806 1.045755 2.708750 6.781941 16.039229 38.236175
2025-06-15 0.136406 0.399560 1.074407 2.864258 7.365666 17.846543 43.560677
2025-06-22 0.128497 0.389447 1.079223 2.960841 7.819237 19.406148 48.487845
2025-06-29 0.117214 0.367801 1.050884 2.968139 8.052129 20.474490 52.376041
2025-07-06 0.100585 0.327456 0.966366 2.814456 7.854445 20.487044 53.718422
2025-07-13 0.095260 0.320155 0.971556 2.905281 8.307479 22.147028 59.311135